As part of the Foreign Policy at Brookings’ launch of “Big Bets and Black Swans: A Presidential Briefing Book,” David moderated a panel discussion on transformational policies that could shape a new global order or the “big bets” President Obama should make in his second term. Panelist Suzanne Maloney suggested the president place a bet on Iran.
“What I am proposing is not the grand bargain tomorrow but we can do and what we can achieve is a relatively modest deal. It’s out there, the Iranians want it, we would be very happy to have it because it would resolve one of the most urgent items of concern with respect to the Iranian nuclear program with 20% enrichment. It buys us some time, it does not solve the problem,” she said.
To watch the full panel discussion click on the video link above.
Panel members: Charles K. Ebinger, Senior Fellow and Director, Energy Security Initiative; Robert Kagan, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy at Brookings; Mireya Solís, Philip Knight Chair in Japan Studies, Center on Northeast Asia Policy Studies; Suzanne Maloney, Senior Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy; and Kenneth G. Lieberthal, Senior Fellow, John L. Thornton China Center.
David also moderated a panel discussion on the potential “black swans,” or the low-probability, high-impact events that could steer the president’s second-term agenda off track. These black swans range from the Eurozone and Afghanistan to natural disasters.
Panelist Thomas Wright said one of those black swans, the potential collapse of the Eurozone, would be a disastrous for the U.S. economy.
“This is the single greatest threat facing the U.S. economy, much greater than the fiscal cliff or sequestration or failure to negotiate a budget. And it is an event that if it were to occur would be a defining event of President Obama’s eight years in office,” he said.
To watch the second panel, click on the video link above.
Panel members: Vanda Felbab-Brown, Senior Fellow, 21st Century Defense Initiative; Thomas Wright, Fellow, Managing Global Order Project; Bruce Riedel, Senior Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy; Khaled Elgindy, Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy; and Elizabeth Ferris, Senior Fellow and Co-Director, Brookings-LSE Project on Internal Displacement.